Interplanetary Scintillation - Driven ENLIL Predictions (6-hour updates)

Here a converged iterative fit to ISEE IPS data provides a predictive space weather model boundary that drives the ENLIL 3-D MHD model. This is the zeroth iteration of the ENLIL iterative system that begins the iterative ENLIL procedure, see: http://ips.ucsd.edu/ENLIL_predictions; the 3-D volumes are interpolated at 21.5 Rs (0.1 AU) for ENLIL. The analysis is refreshed four times daily and presented at 03UT, 09UT, 15UT, and 21UT. A nearly identical high-resolution kinematic model version run on the main server computer is found at this subheading and at: http://ips.ucsd.edu/high_resolution_predictions. A similar system to this modeling where the IPS kinematic model is used to drive ENLIL is run at George Mason University, and at the Korean Space Weather Center (KSWC). Updates to this modeling are ongoing.

IPS-Driven ENLIL Overview Plot

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Overview Plot:

The ENLIL Overview Plot shows an ENLIL analysis driven by the UCSD kinematic modeling and provides from upper left: Density in ecliptic, Earth meridian, and a Carrington map at 1 AU. From the lower left: Velocity in ecliptic, Earth meridian, and a Carrington map at 1 AU. The far right provides panels upper to lower of: predicted density, velocity, field magnitude, and temperature.